The support line is the level where there is a
tendency for prices to rise, because there are more buyers than sellers, or
demand is greater than supply. While the resistance line is the level where
there is a tendency for prices to fall, because there are more sellers than
buyers, or supply is greater than demand.
At one time, the buying power could be greater
than the sell power which had previously pushed the price down in a bearish
trend. On the other hand, there are times when the sell power manages to
outperform the buy power that previously dominated. If that happens, a point
called a price reversal will appear. This is what is then referred to as the
point of support and resistance in the trading world. No doubt, understanding
support and resistance is a basic knowledge that novice traders must know,
before they learn more about technical analysis. Why do support and resistance
points form? What is the trigger? The answer is because of the profit-taking
actions carried out by traders.
To make it easier to understand, support and resistance can be
illustrated as "floor and ceiling". The ball will bounce up when it
hits the floor (support), otherwise it will bounce down when it hits the
resistance ceiling. The support line can be formed by drawing a horizontal line
(horizontal) from the lowest point in the valley that has occurred. While the
resistance line is formed by drawing a horizontal line from the highest point
at the peak that has occurred
The support and resistance lines are certainly not
"magic lines" that can cause prices to move up or down but are the
reflection of the psychology of market participants themselves. Market
participants are divided into three categories, namely: people who buy, people
who sell and people who do nothing.
When the price of a stock corrects or falls to a certain
level and then reverses up from that level, people who had bought will feel
happy and at the same time regret "why didn't you buy more before".
People who have not had time to buy are also full of regret because they
"didn't have time" to buy before. While the people who sell also have
that feeling. They feel they have made a "mistake"—because the price
of their shares, which had already been sold earlier, is now rising steadily.
They are people who fall into the category of greed (greed).
There is another group that is now in a "wrong
direction" or is experiencing losses. These are the people who short sell.
The higher the share price, the greater the loss will be. They are overcome by
fear and are now waiting for an opportunity to buy-to-cover* on their
short-sell. These people really hope that the price will immediately fall back
to that level or their breakeven point so they can get a return on their
investment.
Picture by Karolina Grabowska from Pexels |
Although the people mentioned above have taken different
actions, but it leads them to take the same action in the future, namely all of
them take a stand ready to buy! If the market gives a “second chance”. The same
thing applies to the resistance line, where at that time the bulls were filled
with fear and the bears were filled with greed, all ready to sell at the next
opportunity!
It is the feelings of market participants who are filled with fear and greed that always encourage every buying and selling action in the market, forming and executing. The higher the volatility of a market, the higher the level of fear and greed that covers it.
The stronger the feeling,
the stronger the support or resistance level that will be formed. If the price
movement then reverses to the previous level, the buy or sell impulse will
cause the price to bounce back.
The more transactions or volumes that occur on the support and resistance lines, the higher the commitment of market participants, the stronger the chart will be. In addition, the frequency with which the stock price “plays” at support and resistance also determines its strength.
The more often “touched”,
means the level is getting tested or getting stronger. In addition, the time
factor also plays a role. For example, five-month support or resistance is said
to be stronger than five-day support or resistance.
This is an illustration of how
the impact of human psychology in shaping Supply and Demand which then affects
stock prices. Technicalists study a chart to read what is really happening in
the market, compare it to the past and identify patterns that are often
repeated as a result of the reactions of market participants.
Support and resistance are formed due to past memories and current feelings.
SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE LINE
BREAKOUT
If a support line is
successfully penetrated by price movements, then the line will turn into a
resistance line. The stronger the previous support, the stronger the resistance
will be.
Conversely, if a resistance line
is successfully penetrated by price movements, then the line will turn into a
support line. The stronger the previous resistance, it will become an equally
strong support.
Question: When can a support or
resistance line be declared to have been broken (valid break)?
The same principles apply as
trendlines. A line of support or resistance is said to have been broken if the ‘closing
price’ is outside the line. The support is declared a valid break if the
closing price is below the line, on the contrary the resistance line is
declared a valid break if the closing price is above the line.
PULLBACK
When the price re-tests a support or resistance level that
has been passed, it is called a pullback. As seen in the picture below (A), the
pullback that occurred succeeded in testing the support level and continuing
its uptrend. In picture (B) the pullback has successfully tested the resistance
level and continued its downtrend pattern. This Pullback area is a test of how
strong the trend will be or just a false break.
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